New storm may have an impact next week!

I've got my work all cut out for me this weekend from Monday's 5.75" drenching in Tempe. While we really need the rain, we don't need it all in a couple of hours.

I did have to laugh seeing one of my fishing coolers floating around the backyard. AHOY THERE!!!! :)

https://plus.google.com/photos/118378070862941628427/albums/6056768183649674337

Look at it this way. You get to turn off the sprinklers for a week. Leigh

Stuart said:

I've got my work all cut out for me this weekend from Monday's 5.75" drenching in Tempe. While we really need the rain, we don't need it all in a couple of hours.

I did have to laugh seeing one of my fishing coolers floating around the backyard. AHOY THERE!!!! :)

https://plus.google.com/photos/118378070862941628427/albums/6056768183649674337

Sort of looks like the cactus got drunk and passed out in the street

Ups took the bridge.......we used a Lewis Winch to pull him out....but this would be cool to own

You could make them out of half wheels and permanently mount them to an off road rig. I've actually thought about that when stuck !!

http://thevane.gawker.com/dangerous-category-four-hurricane-odile-set-to-blast-ba-1634590201/+kellyconaboy

Crap!!!!!get the sand bags! I am worried my Boomerfest Glamping site will be washed away

http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hurricanes/tropical-storm-hurricane-odile-pacific-mexico-20140910. Warnings up to kino.....

jerry said:

http://www.weather.com/news/weather-hurricanes/tropical-storm-hurricane-odile-pacific-mexico-20140910. Warnings up to kino.....

Oh, that's just great. Not a nice refreshing rain shower, but a tropical depression. Plan to go down on Saturday. Hope there's something left to go to . .

This morning they showed the projected path going up the middle of the peninsula & taking a right turn straight at RP.

Hurricane Odile is tracking much the same as Hurricane Nora did in 1997, and being a Cat 3-4 hurricane there could be some widespread damage
just as Nora did, also a Cat. 4 storm.
I went down 4 days after Nora hit and much of the area around Blvd. Samuel Ocana was leveled, in Cholla Bay a lot of roofs were hanging in the
newly installed power lines, Cholla Rd. was impassible for 3 days.
I had to replace the roof on my Cholla house since much of the rolled roofing material was peeled away.

Hopefully this is only a tropical depression by the time it hits and just provides a nice rain soaking to cool down the hot temps.

brokenwave said:

Hopefully this is only a tropical depression by the time it hits and just provides a nice rain soaking to cool down the hot temps.

That's what is projected at this point -- it will have diminished to a tropical depression. (I remember when Nora hit -- the front windows almost gave way.)

Forecast say 80% chance of rain on Wednesday for RP with potential for heavy rainfall.

I think our house can weather it- I'm just worried about the people in the cardboard houses. I'm happy about the rain, but hope all the locals are OK.

Wondering if Penasco is anywhere prepared for such a storm. Do the condos have a designated area for occupants saftey in such an occurance? Have the staff been trained as to where it is and what to do? Is the designated saftey area actually safe as some in Cabo apparently failed. All that exposed glass on the beach front is scarey in a high wind. Will the Malecon hold out or will it be destroyed as from the last big storm?

The human loss might be great in the neighborhoods with such fierce high winds. Where are these people to shelter? The monetary loss in the condos could be monumental. How many years before insurance pays off and repairs are made? Now I'm scarin myself. Hope the storm looses some virility and or heads out to sea but at least one predicted path is right over Penasco.

Russ, please give us the play by play of how it's affecting Penasco.

It's not threat of wind...But Torrential Rainfall which means widespread flooding and impassible roads and no power.
fill the bathtubs and every bottle to flush toilets and have plenty of drinking water on hand. Be Safe at most

Good thing they cancelled Boomerfest!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Check out the airport in Cabo after the storm http://fox5sandiego.com/2014/09/15/hurricane-odile-lashes-cabo-san-lucas/

MIRAMAR said:

I think our house can weather it- I'm just worried about the people in the cardboard houses. I'm happy about the rain, but hope all the locals are OK.

I have been in Miramar (last year) when the river up north ran so heavily that no one could get in or out of Miramar for several days.

When is the storm/hurricane supposed to hit Penasco?

MIRAMAR said:

I think our house can weather it- I'm just worried about the people in the cardboard houses. I'm happy about the rain, but hope all the locals are OK.

Can you use the road in from the Mayan if things flood out?

Estero said:

Check out the airport in Cabo after the storm http://fox5sandiego.com/2014/09/15/hurricane-odile-lashes-cabo-san-lucas/

Oh my goodness! thats crazy

PintoPoint said:

Good thing they cancelled Boomerfest!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

A good thunderstorm during Boomerbust would have made all the Woodstockers feel right at home. Peace, love, music, & mud.!

If the Caborca highway is flooded, we can't even get to Miramar. If we get past the 4 dips, and if the road to Miramar is wet, they route us through the paved concrete road through the Mayan.

Another tip learned from Florida Storms... Stay off the LIQUOR until after the storm. Trust me on this!!!

Stay safe everyone!

dirtsurfer said:

When is the storm/hurricane supposed to hit Penasco?

Tuesday PM through Thursday. The worst of it on Wednesday, forecasting 3.5+ inches total for the storm.

MIRAMAR said:

If the Caborca highway is flooded, we can't even get to Miramar. If we get past the 4 dips, and if the road to Miramar is wet, they route us through the paved concrete road through the Mayan.

Last year even the Mayan was cut off from the flood waters. When I entered Miramar we had to use the Mayan road as the Miramar road was toast. Eventually the running water took out the Mayan road also. I left just before the Mayan road washed out. My friends stayed an extra day and had to 4 wheel it several miles west down the beach and exited near Encanto.

Another pic of Odile

http://forums.bajanomad.com/viewthread.php?tid=75277&page=23. Nightmare in Baja...earthquakes too!

dirtsurfer said:

Last year even the Mayan was cut off from the flood waters. When I entered Miramar we had to use the Mayan road as the Miramar road was toast. Eventually the running water took out the Mayan road also. I left just before the Mayan road washed out. My friends stayed an extra day and had to 4 wheel it several miles west down the beach and exited near Encanto.

Yep -- They even had to ferry the workers from Mayan to the Caborca Road for a day or so. They did run drainage pipes under (perpendicular to) the Miramar/Dorada Road back then (and I suppose the Mayan as well), so hopefully the roads will stay intact next time . . .

So far today it is just sprinkling. We do expect heavy rain. Heres a clip from Al Roker on this mornings news about thr record heat in So Cal and the damage from Odile in Baja Sur

mexicoruss said:

So far today it is just sprinkling. We do expect heavy rain. Heres a clip from Al Roker on this mornings news about thr record heat in So Cal and the damage from Odile in Baja Sur

I hope it takes that sharp right turn to the east sooner than later!

The hurricane trackers have it landing further south- towards Desemboque or Las Dunas, so hopefully Penasco will miss a direct hit, even though it's a tropical storm now. The heaviest rains are in the north east quadrant: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/east-pacific/2014/tropical-storm-Odile?map=5day

I doubt it will turn from this projected path photo which is the latest I have seen

Web Cam
http://www.sonoranresorts.mx/live/

Nice to have the live cam finally up and running, it was down for a long time.

Sea wall test again!

San Carlos getting high surf right now.

Ross says the waves are breaking 9 feet over the sea wall in front of his place.

Cloud cover horizon to horizon. High grey clouds but no big thunderheads. Thunder off to the east though. Breezy, sprinkles.

GV Jack said:

San Carlos getting high surf right now.

Ross says the waves are breaking 9 feet over the sea wall in front of his place.

Tell Ross to keep the life jacket on !! What floor is he on?

I have a friend coming down on Friday. How do you think the roads will be by then?

mis2810 said:

I have a friend coming down on Friday. How do you think the roads will be by then?

Based on the forecast, dangerous!

Sky is actually showing some blue off to the south at 12:30. Still socked in otherwise.

playaperro said:

Sea wall test again!

Terry what camera system do you recommend.We have fast Internet...also which condo tower is that?

Roberto said:

Tell Ross to keep the life jacket on !! What floor is he on?

Ross is working in Tucson. His real estate agent is relaying information to him. We're doing dinner tonight so I'll find out more.

His place is on the ground floor, at least it was.

jerry said:

Terry what camera system do you recommend.We have fast Internet...also which condo tower is that?

Looks like Tessoro condos.

NHC issues Tropical Storm Warning to Puerto Penasco

mis2810 said:

Looks like Tessoro condos.

Were they finished?

jerry said:

Were they finished?

They were finished, it's just that hardly anyone lives there. I think the last I heard was there were 13 owners. At some point the HOA money had dried up and electric service to the elevator was cut off. There was a lady in a wheelchair living on one of the upper floors who had no way down or up without the elevator. Not sure how much of that is true, though. Beautiful interiors and gorgeous views at Tessoro, but the prices were sky high and then the bottom fell out of the real estate market.

mis2810 said:

They were finished, it's just that hardly anyone lives there. I think the last I heard was there were 13 owners. At some point the HOA money had dried up and electric service to the elevator was cut off. There was a lady in a wheelchair living on one of the upper floors who had no way down or up without the elevator. Not sure how much of that is true, though. Beautiful interiors and gorgeous views at Tessoro, but the prices were sky high and then the bottom fell out of the real estate market.

I have heard pretty much the same thing. The builder was not making the HOA payments for the unsold units effectively choking it. I know a man that bought one of them and he stays there occasionally and there are some time renters also. There is a lawsuit working it's way through the courts. Power is on and some maintenance does happen. Yes the units were/are spectacular. Elevator opened directly into each condo.

This god damn thing is headed straight for my house!,,,,

By Mark Fco. López Robles

The City of Caborca, Civil Protection, Volunteer Fire Caborca and Mexican Red Cross, Federal Police, Municipal Police and Ministry of Defence on alert Odile proximity of the coast of Caborca.

And currently have hostels in primary schools Desemboque, September 15, Puerto Lobos and Secondary Poblado Plutarco Elias Calles, the state government of Sonora, sent this afternoon his command center that will be installed in the Town Plutarco Elías Streets, Caborca Red Cross sent two units with paramedics and Volunteer Fire Caborca two units with staff, both corporations are in the Town Plutarco Elias Calles, supporting firefighters Caborca coast.


Is also expected to arrive in Hermosillo and Nogales support from Red Cross, and will be aware Cananea Fire to get down to the city to provide relief if required.

The weather phenomenon is expected to make landfall around 7am on Wednesday 6 kilometers south of Desemboque, with sustained winds of 85-100 mph winds, moving toward Sonoyta.

This afternoon State Civil Protection reported in its bulletin number 38 Odile, is entering the sea in the Gulf of California, ranking at 16:30 pm 245 kilometers south of Puerto Penasco, Sonora, changed its travel north at a rate of 11 kilometers per hour, leading to cloudiness within 250 mile radius from its center.

Strong rains in Sonora to leave 50 to 75 mm of water, with waves of 2-4 meters off the coast of Sonora, Coast Municipality Pitiquito, Caborca and Hermosillo are expected on red alert.

It is planned that the tropical storm at landfall begins to weaken to a tropical depression which would have sustained winds and gusts of 55-75 miles per hour.

It is recommended to the people of Caborca not go out if they are merely necessary, it is now official that tomorrow, Wednesday, September 17 do not open classes in kindergarten, primary and secondary, one is pending Schools and Universities, which is consideration of citizens to send their children to the School or College, it is best not to attend. Tonight at 20:00 pm the City Council to move forward security measures that are planned for the region will meet. Keep you informed.

jerry said:

I may be directionally challenged but isn't this thing headed pretty far east? I know there are things like outer bands and such but I've also seen the bubble headed news person all over herself on the spot of where a puddle occurred in Scottsdale......

That is NOT good news. Yikes.

jerry said:

Terry what camera system do you recommend.We have fast Internet...also which condo tower is that?

Jerry, it's at the Sonoran Sky where Jim R. is. I would like to get one at Playa Encanto some time. I'm just not sure what one to get because of the weather in the summer.

The alert level in Penasco has been raised from yellow to orange. The only one higher is red.

jerry said:

This god damn thing is headed straight for my house!,,,,


The weather phenomenon is expected to make landfall around 7am on Wednesday 6 kilometers south of Desemboque, with sustained winds of 85-100 mph winds, moving toward Sonoyta.

This forecast is much stronger than the NWS, but then again I just don't trust a cyclone moving 8 MPH over 90 degree water. I think the precautions are wise.

By later this evening we should be able to see if its starting to (re)wind up.

http://sat.wrh.noaa.gov/satellite/showsat.php?wfo=twc&area=west&type=ir&size=2

Good luck to all in its path I will sit back and see what happens in Cholla

Anybody besides Roberto down there now?

Russ is but he may of lost electric. Friend Boo Bar on Facebook, Jose is out and about...

Nothing to report thus far. Light rain and a little wind.

Stay safe you guys!

Pinky said:

Nothing to report thus far. Light rain and a little wind.

http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=31.85740&lon=-112.20422&zoom=8&type=terrain&units=english&rad=1&rad.num=1&rad.spd=25&rad.opa=70&rad.type=N0R&rad.type2=&rad.smo=1&rad.stm=0&sat=0&stormreports=0&svr=0&pix=0&cams=0&tor=0&riv=0&wxsn=1&wxsn.mode=tw&ski=0&tfk=0&mm=0&ndfd=0&fire=0&firewfas=0&pep=0&extremes=0&dir=0&hur=0

Where the heck is Rosy? I want to buy some hurricane insurance!

https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be&v=6vUjm9dJI9I. Check out the waves in San CarlosCarlos

jerry said:

https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be&v=6vUjm9dJI9I. Check out the waves in San CarlosCarlos

Breaking a little shallow but there's no question that you could ride those waves.

So far so good, very cloudy and cool, sitting outside with coffee at 7:30 am Wednesday morning it looks like it rained all night lightly very beneficial for us for sure. Clouds are moving pretty quick to the North so things could change quick. For now all is good.

8:30 am Starting to rain pretty good had to move inside

Hope the windage and waveage has diminished from previous reports, when it was farther south . . .

Wow, that 2nd picture is beautiful. I'd love to frame a copy of that!

mis2810 said:

Wow, that 2nd picture is beautiful. I'd love to frame a copy of that!

I can have it printed and matted for you no problem, these are low res the originals are incredible - let me know how big and I will get it for you.

mexicoruss said:

I can have it printed and matted for you no problem, these are low res the originals are incredible - let me know how big and I will get it for you.

Thanks Russ! 8-1/2 x 11 matted on white - how much????

10:00 AM in GV.

Been a light rain since 5:30 this morning. So far .26 The radar shows more like this on the way.

The winds are negligible so this is really a nice deal so far. Hope it stays that way.

More pictures of the storm yesterday by Tony are found here

Officer:
The Committee of the operations of the emergency room Municipal has decretado SO OFFiCiAL the closure of the road Port peñasco - caborca due to the heavy rain in the region through the storm tropical ' Odile '. We are advised to motorists who will desviando a traveller on the road peñasco - sonoyta. More information.

GV Jack said:

10:00 AM in GV.

Been a light rain since 5:30 this morning. So far .26 The radar shows more like this on the way.

The winds are negligible so this is really a nice deal so far. Hope it stays that way.

Batten down the golf car and Rascal scooter captain!

mexicoruss said:

A couple of pics by our resident photog Tony Ballesteros

I wan one of the cloud pics also.

Red alert just announced here in RP.. Also heard a few of the shrimp boats that left on the 15th have capsized... I heard that on the dock..

Hope that's rumor, if not prayers for those sailors.

It looks fairly calm there right now, with rain. On Sonoran Sky Live Camera.

According to Weather Underground there have been a few earthquakes in San Felipe
in the last two days. Mag 4.4 to 4.7.

I'm watching the web cam at the Sky-- looks pretty calm still: http://www.sonoranresorts.mx/live/

Hope the crew on the shrimp boats are good.

It is calm and actually sunny, but to the east, it looks a little rough..

Keep us posted if it gets bad..... stay safe.

8.5 x 11 photos on simple white matt 12.00 each plus shipping if you want it shipped

Back to amber alert

mexicoruss said:

8.5 x 11 photos on simple white matt 12.00 each plus shipping if you want it shipped

I can pick up next time I'm in town which would be October 9 through 13.

Stopped just after noon. Total yesterday and today just over 1/2 inch. A great easy soft rain for the flora and fauna.

Frankly, I prefer flora. She has a great set of ..........leaves.

Just talked with my buddy in Santo Tomas...sunny now and they did not get hit with much rain...

The same thing happened with Hurricane Nora in 1997 - they made a huge deal about it and then . . . . nothing.

Better safe than sorry I am glad it's over, now we have to deal with Polo and I hope this near miss doesn't cause complacency as to the seriousness of the next one! Maybe it won't be a close one like this one.

Sunny overhead right now at 3PM with isolated clouds blowing by. The the East and Southeast it looks quite dark. I could see some isolated showers blowing toward Sonoita but unless thee is something lurking off the horizon it's pretty much over. Drove out to Unconscious this AM and was fishtailing in the mucky poo from the morning rain but in an hour the road was in good shape. Hard to understand any red alert. Must have been wicked out in the gulf if shrimmpers were capsizing.

http://www.elimparcial.com/EdicionEnLinea/Notas/Sonora/17092014/887189-Odile-toca-tierra-en-Sonora-entre-Penasco-y-Puerto-Libertad.html Libertad was wacked...

mexicoruss said:

Better safe than sorry I am glad it's over, now we have to deal with Polo and I hope this near miss doesn't cause complacency as to the seriousness of the next one! Maybe it won't be a close one like this one.

Trust me, I'm glad nothing happened!

mexicoruss said:

A couple of pics by our resident photog Tony Ballesteros

Awesome pics. Love the rainbow over Old Port! :)

mis2810 said:

Anybody besides Roberto down there now?

Samatter don't trust me anymore??!!:p:p

Roberto said:

Samatter don't trust me anymore??!!:p:p

No, I was wondering who else I should be caring about besides you!!!!! :p:eek:

Dark O'clock sky is still clear. Only odd thing I see is the wind comin out of the west. Still a lot of raincloud formations off to the east along the horizon and some clouds off to the west right now.